Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
