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ID
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
P

Independiente
0 - 1
Palmeiras


Landazuri (29'), Vite (39'), Ramirez (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (43' pen.)
de Paula (28'), Melo (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawPalmeiras
40.45%26.85%32.69%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78%54.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.37%75.62%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68%26.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54%61.46%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01%30.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71%67.29%
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 40.44%
    Palmeiras 32.69%
    Draw 26.85%
Independiente del ValleDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.44%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.69%

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