Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 9.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.68%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
