SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Magallanes |
56.12% ( -1.66) | 22.7% ( 0.94) | 21.18% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( -3.24) | 44.91% ( 3.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -3.19) | 67.27% ( 3.2) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( -1.64) | 15.82% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55% ( -3.12) | 45% ( 3.12) |
| Magallanes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( -1.14) | 35.25% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( -1.21) | 72.01% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| LDU Quito | Draw | Magallanes |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.36)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.24)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.18% |
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