SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Cesar Vallejo |
62.28% ( -0.13) | 21.92% ( -0.05) | 15.8% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.22% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( 0.5) | 49.66% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( 0.44) | 71.68% ( -0.44) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( 0.12) | 15.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.79% ( 0.23) | 44.21% ( -0.23) |
| Cesar Vallejo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.82% ( 0.54) | 44.18% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.73% ( 0.44) | 80.27% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botafogo | Draw | Cesar Vallejo |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.8% |
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