SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | LDU Quito |
50.7% ( -1.35) | 24.9% ( 0.45) | 24.39% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( -1.03) | 50.8% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( -0.92) | 72.69% ( 0.92) |
| Cesar Vallejo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.94) | 20.04% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.74% ( -1.54) | 52.25% ( 1.54) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( 0.23) | 35.55% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.67% ( 0.24) | 72.32% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.39% |
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