Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
Result | ||
Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Botafogo |
36.24% ( 0.91) | 26.75% ( 0.12) | 37.02% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.67% ( -0.42) | 53.32% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( -0.36) | 74.87% ( 0.36) |
Cesar Vallejo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( 0.34) | 28.3% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( 0.43) | 64.02% ( -0.43) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( -0.79) | 27.83% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( -1.02) | 63.43% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Botafogo |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.24% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 37.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: