Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
0.91) 
-1.02) 
