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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Metropolitanos
1 - 1
Deportivo Garcilaso

Flores (44')
Garces (7'), Alexander Camarillo Adames (82'), Rodriguez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Erustes (37')
Cornejo (17'), Beltran (44'), Lojas (75'), Paul Gonzales Aponte (82'), Perleche (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Deportivo Garcilaso.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lanus 5-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
54.07% (0.0019999999999953 0) 23.92% (-0.115 -0.12) 22% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 51.74% (0.504 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (0.595 0.59)49.15% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (0.537 0.54)71.22% (-0.536 -0.54)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.91% (0.224 0.22)18.08% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.99% (0.382 0.38)49.01% (-0.381 -0.38)
Deportivo Garcilaso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.16% (0.444 0.44)36.84% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.37% (0.442 0.44)73.63% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 54.07%
    Deportivo Garcilaso 22%
    Draw 23.92%
MetropolitanosDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.095999999999998 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lanus 5-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-2 Cuiaba
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Carabobo 1-1 Metropolitanos (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 Lanus
Friday, May 10 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Cuiaba
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 ADT (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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