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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 10, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Deportivo Garcilaso
0 - 2
Lanus


Caicedo (50'), Ugarriza (58'), Gomez (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bou (7'), Moreno (54')
Aguerre (37'), Acosta (45'), Moreno (55'), Loaiza (67'), Bou (80')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Cuiaba
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Deportivo Garcilaso win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
Deportivo GarcilasoDrawLanus
35.55% (0.21 0.21) 27.94% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 36.51% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.97% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)58.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)78.71% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Deportivo Garcilaso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.116 0.12)31.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.138 0.14)67.35% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.155 -0.16)30.44% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.184 -0.18)66.64% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Garcilaso 35.55%
    Lanus 36.5%
    Draw 27.93%
Deportivo GarcilasoDrawLanus
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 3% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.5%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Cuiaba
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 3-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 ADT (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 1-2 Estudiantes
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Lanus
Sunday, April 7 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Lanus
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 2-2 Union
Thursday, March 28 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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