Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
FT(HT: 2-0)
Graterol (27'), Bustillo (66')
Villero (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Metropolitanos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result |
| Lanus | Draw | Metropolitanos |
67.82% ( -0.19) | 20.02% ( 0.05) | 12.16% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.71% ( 0.27) |
| 50.72% ( 0.13) | 49.28% ( -0.13) |
| 28.66% ( 0.11) | 71.33% ( -0.11) |
| 86.45% ( -0.02) | 13.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.03) | 40.63% ( 0.03) |
| 50.56% ( 0.32) | 49.43% ( -0.32) |
