Mushuc Runa
0 - 2
LDU Quito

(LDU Quito win 3-1 on aggregate)

Carabali (36'), Santacruz (80'), Giordana (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romero (62'), Alvarado (88')
Cruz (40'), Romero (44'), Gonzalez (54'), Guerra (64')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Mushuc Runa and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mushuc Runa

Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Mushuc Runa
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

LDU Quito

Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Mushuc Runa win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
Mushuc Runa	Draw	LDU Quito
35.64%	26.14%	38.21%

Both teams to score 53.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16%

50.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27%

72.72%

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54%

27.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05%

62.95%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.01%

25.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.99%

61%

Score Analysis

Mushuc Runa 35.64%

LDU Quito 38.21%

Draw 26.14%

Mushuc Runa	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.64%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.21%