LDU Quito
1 - 0
Athletico PR

(Athletico Paranaense win 4-3 on aggregate)

Neicer Reascos Gonzalez (87')
David Angulo Ramirez (39')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marcinho (33'), Christian (62'), Canesin (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between LDU Quito and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.49%) and 3-2 (4.8%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
44.32%	21.3%	34.38%

Both teams to score 71.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.27%

27.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.6%

48.4%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46%

13.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.39%

40.6%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6%

17.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18%

47.82%

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 44.32%

Athletico Paranaense 34.38%

Draw 21.3%

LDU Quito	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 4.8% 2-0 @ 4.71% 1-0 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-3 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.32%	1-1 @ 8.24% 2-2 @ 7.2% 3-3 @ 2.8% 0-0 @ 2.35% Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.3%	1-2 @ 7.2% 2-3 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-1 @ 4.12% 0-2 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.84% 3-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.38%