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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 1am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
2 - 2
LDU Quito

Pedro (32'), Henrique (88')
Gerson (53'), Henrique (71')
Arao (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guerra (35'), Julio (60')
Cruz (19'), Quinteros (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
FlamengoDrawLDU Quito
59.94%22.74%17.32%
Both teams to score 47.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.42%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53%16.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.82%46.18%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.27%42.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.94%79.06%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 59.93%
    LDU Quito 17.32%
    Draw 22.74%
FlamengoDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 5.85%
4-0 @ 3.1%
4-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 1.12%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 59.93%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.98%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.32%

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