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Thursday, March 28
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Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 19, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada (Curitiba, Paraná)

Athletico PR
4 - 2
LDU Quito

Christian (26', 29'), Bissoli (62', 69' pen.)
Bissoli (47'), Erick (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Amarilla (11'), Julio (43')
Cruz (56'), Scotto (68'), Caicedo (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawLDU Quito
51.04%25.17%23.79%
Both teams to score 50.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92%74.07%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46%20.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96%53.04%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03%36.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24%73.76%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 51.03%
    LDU Quito 23.79%
    Draw 25.16%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 5%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 51.03%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.55%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 23.79%

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