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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 28, 2021 at 1am UK
 

LDU Quito
5 - 2
Union La Calera

Fernandez (15' og.), Amarilla (28', 33'), Arce (58', 60')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Saez (55', 90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawUnion La Calera
58.07%22.41%19.52%
Both teams to score 52.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12%45.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8%68.19%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49%15.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59%44.41%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.28%
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 58.06%
    Union La Calera 19.52%
    Draw 22.41%
LDU QuitoDrawUnion La Calera
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-0 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.87%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.41%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 2.8%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.52%

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