Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.