Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
