Gimnasia
2 - 1
Newell's OB

Carbonero (54'), Perez Garcia (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cesar Cingolani (71')
Ramirez (32'), Sforza (37'), Llano (75'), Cabral (80'), Scocco (85')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Gimnasia and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
42.18%	26.59%	31.23%

Both teams to score 51.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43%

53.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92%

75.08%

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88%

25.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18%

59.82%

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34%

31.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93%

68.07%

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 42.17%

Newell's Old Boys 31.23%

Draw 26.58%

Gimnasia	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.17%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.23%