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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 12, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus

Lanus
1 - 3
Newell's OB

Sand (21')
De la Vega (14'), Morales (56'), Belmonte (65'), Sand (67'), Esquivel (85')
Belmonte (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cristaldo (45'), Cacciabue (61', 73')
Cabral (9'), Cristaldo (65'), Pablo Freytes (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Lanus and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawNewell's Old Boys
48.36%25.38%26.26%
Both teams to score 51.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71%51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88%73.11%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78%21.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88%54.11%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77%34.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07%70.92%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 48.35%
    Newell's Old Boys 26.26%
    Draw 25.38%
LanusDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.35%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.26%

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