Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
