Rosario
3 - 0
Newell's OB

Ruben (17'), Ferreyra (61'), Martinez (80')
Ferreyra (25'), Ojeda (25'), Vecchio (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (25'), Perez (31'), Lema (43'), Fernandez (65')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario Central	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
47.41%	24.74%	27.85%

Both teams to score 55.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43%

47.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23%

69.77%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88%

20.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62%

52.38%

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98%

31.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68%

67.32%

Score Analysis

Rosario Central 47.4%

Newell's Old Boys 27.85%

Draw 24.74%

Rosario Central	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 5.02% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.4%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.85%