Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Nacional Brigido Iriarte
Rayo Zuliano win 4-2 on penalties
Melean (45'), Castro (85')
FT
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Rayo Zuliano and Deportivo La Guaira.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Zuliano win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Zuliano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Rayo Zuliano | Draw | Deportivo La Guaira |
37.87% ( 0.05) | 27.45% ( -0) | 34.68% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( -0) |
| 43.79% | 56.21% ( 0) |
| 22.74% ( 0) | 77.26% ( 0) |
| 71.28% ( 0.03) | 28.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.45% ( 0.04) | 64.55% ( -0.04) |
| Deportivo La Guaira Goals |
| 69.32% ( -0.03) | 30.68% ( 0.03) |
