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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
4 - 0
Deportivo

Cumana (41' og.), Benegas (47', 90'), Roa (83')
Vigo (31'), Pozzo (43'), Benegas (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aramburu (11'), Flores (85'), Rivas (86'), Olses (87')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawDeportivo La Guaira
52.98% (-0.197 -0.2) 26.47% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 20.54% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 42.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.99% (-0.111 -0.11)60.01% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.75% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)80.25% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.133 -0.13)22.84% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-0.197 -0.2)56.57% (0.193 0.19)
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43% (0.070999999999998 0.07)44.56% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.42% (0.058 0.06)80.58% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 52.98%
    Deportivo La Guaira 20.54%
    Draw 26.46%
IndependienteDrawDeportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 15.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 52.98%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 20.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Huracan
Saturday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: General Caballero JLM 0-4 Independiente
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Independiente
Sunday, May 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo 0-2 Independiente
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rosario 3-0 Independiente
Saturday, April 23 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Aldosivi
Wednesday, April 20 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 Deportivo
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo 0-2 Independiente
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo 0-2 Ceara
Tuesday, April 12 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: General Caballero JLM 1-1 Deportivo
Wednesday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo 3-0 H. Colmenares
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: H. Colmenares 2-0 Deportivo
Thursday, March 10 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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