Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.