Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
