SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Bragantino | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Ceara | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 9 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Ceara |
| 32.97% | 28.09% | 38.94% |
| Both teams to score 47.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.17% | 58.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.66% | 79.34% |
| Deportivo La Guaira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% | 33.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.24% | 69.76% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% | 29.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.65% | 65.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Ceara |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.6% Total : 38.94% |
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