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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
3 - 0
Deportivo

Mendoza (59'), Vinicius (66'), Erick (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aramburu (82')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawDeportivo La Guaira
55.49%25.86%18.65%
Both teams to score 41.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06%59.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81%80.19%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25%21.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08%54.92%
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.31%46.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.75%82.25%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 55.49%
    Deportivo La Guaira 18.65%
    Draw 25.84%
CearaDrawDeportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 15.49%
2-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 4.58%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.65%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Bragantino
Saturday, April 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: General Caballero JLM 0-2 Ceara
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-3 Botafogo
Sunday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Deportivo 0-2 Ceara
Tuesday, April 12 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-3 Ceara
Sunday, April 10 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Independiente
Tuesday, April 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo 0-2 Independiente
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo 0-2 Ceara
Tuesday, April 12 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: General Caballero JLM 1-1 Deportivo
Wednesday, April 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo 3-0 H. Colmenares
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: H. Colmenares 2-0 Deportivo
Thursday, March 10 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 4-0 Deportivo
Wednesday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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