Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
55.49%	25.86%	18.65%

Both teams to score 41.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.06%

59.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.81%

80.19%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25%

21.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08%

54.92%

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.31%

46.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.75%

82.25%

Score Analysis

Ceara 55.49%

Deportivo La Guaira 18.65%

Draw 25.84%

Ceara	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 15.49% 2-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.58% 4-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.49%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.48% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.65%