Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Ayacucho had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Ayacucho win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
