Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Jorge Wilstermann win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
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