Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
