SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 3-1 (5.42%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jorge Wilstermann | Draw | Everton |
44.35% ( -0.01) | 22.16% ( 0) | 33.5% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 67.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.01) | 32.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.01) | 54.06% ( 0.01) |
| Jorge Wilstermann Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.01) | 15.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.86% ( -0.01) | 44.14% ( 0.01) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% | 20.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0) | 52.22% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jorge Wilstermann | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% 4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.17% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 4% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.51% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.5% |
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