River Plate
3 - 1
Atletico Nacional

Arezo (5', 26'), Piriz (90')
Viera (42')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Duque (34')
Duque (45'), Palacios (45+4'), Rovira (47')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between River Plate and Atletico Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Atletico Nacional
26.11%	25.74%	48.14%

Both teams to score 50.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.18%

52.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56%

74.44%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82%

35.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07%

71.92%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05%

21.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.76%

55.23%

Score Analysis

River Plate 26.11%

Atletico Nacional 48.14%

Draw 25.74%

River Plate	Draw	Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 8.07% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.11%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.14%