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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
1 - 0
Tachira

Vecchio (42')
Avila (63'), Almada (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luis Granados (75'), Samuel Garcia Cordero (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawDeportivo Tachira
62.51%22.46%15.03%
Both teams to score 43.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9%53.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32%74.68%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5%16.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77%46.22%
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.67%47.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.27%82.73%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 62.5%
    Deportivo Tachira 15.03%
    Draw 22.45%
Rosario CentralDrawDeportivo Tachira
1-0 @ 14.06%
2-0 @ 12.67%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 5.7%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.13%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.96%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 62.5%
1-1 @ 10.52%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-2 @ 3.94%
0-2 @ 2.19%
1-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 15.03%

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