Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
