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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 16, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Tachira
2 - 2
Rosario

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo TachiraDrawRosario Central
55.78%22.92%21.31%
Both teams to score 53.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28%45.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96%68.04%
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77%16.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27%45.73%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41%35.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65%72.35%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Tachira 55.78%
    Rosario Central 21.31%
    Draw 22.91%
Deportivo TachiraDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.55%
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.31%

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