Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Platense had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Platense win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
