Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.