SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 28.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Club Libertad |
28.17% ( 0.39) | 28.41% ( -0.05) | 43.42% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 44.52% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% ( 0.31) | 61.32% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% ( 0.23) | 81.23% ( -0.23) |
| Sportivo Ameliano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( 0.5) | 38.11% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.12% ( 0.48) | 74.88% ( -0.48) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( -0.04) | 28.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( -0.05) | 63.71% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 13.59% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.42% |
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