Having a two-goal cushion coming into this match should allow Club Libertad to focus on what they do best, play in a compact low block and hit their opponents on the counter.
All tournament long, the Ecuadorians have struggled to produce much quality in the attacking third, and we expect they will be left frustrated on Wednesday against a side that are well-organised and disciplined on the backline.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
