Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
FT
Patino (10'), Sarquis (51'), Martinich (53')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Danubio and Sportivo Ameliano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Sportivo Ameliano win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Danubio | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
39.34% ( -0.47) | 27.75% ( 0.25) | 32.91% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.68) |
| 42.42% ( -0.88) | 57.58% ( 0.88) |
| 21.64% ( -0.7) | 78.36% ( 0.7) |
| 71.47% ( -0.69) | 28.53% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.69% ( -0.88) | 64.31% ( 0.88) |
| 67.45% ( -0.3) | 32.55% ( 0.3) |
