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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Danubio
0 - 0
Ameliano

 
FT

Patino (10'), Sarquis (51'), Martinich (53')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Danubio and Sportivo Ameliano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Ameliano 1-4 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Sportivo Ameliano win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawSportivo Ameliano
39.34% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47) 27.75% (0.25 0.25) 32.91% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 48.21% (-0.682 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.42% (-0.883 -0.88)57.58% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64% (-0.704 -0.7)78.36% (0.70399999999999 0.7)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)28.53% (0.692 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (-0.876 -0.88)64.31% (0.878 0.88)
Sportivo Ameliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.298 -0.3)32.55% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (-0.336 -0.34)69.09% (0.336 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 39.33%
    Sportivo Ameliano 32.91%
    Draw 27.74%
DanubioDrawSportivo Ameliano
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.29% (0.308 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-2 Danubio
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-2 Wanderers
Sunday, March 24 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Danubio
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Danubio
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ameliano 1-4 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ameliano 2-0 Olimpia
Friday, March 8 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guarani 3-1 Ameliano
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana


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