SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Club Libertad |
30.41% ( 0.11) | 28.14% ( 0.03) | 41.45% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% ( -0.08) | 59.59% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.07% ( -0.06) | 79.92% ( 0.06) |
| Deportivo Tachira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( 0.03) | 35.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( 0.04) | 72.17% ( -0.04) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( -0.12) | 28.3% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% ( -0.15) | 64.02% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.44% |
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