SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sportivo Ameliano win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Danubio |
33.66% ( 0.13) | 27.69% ( 0.05) | 38.65% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.15) | 57.26% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.89% ( -0.12) | 78.11% ( 0.11) |
| Sportivo Ameliano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( 0.01) | 31.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% ( 0.01) | 68.33% ( -0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.17) | 28.77% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% ( -0.21) | 64.62% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 38.64% |
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