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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
58% ( -0.07) | 24.54% ( 0.02) | 17.46% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.12% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.03% ( -0.02) | 56.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( -0.02) | 77.87% ( 0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.03) | 19.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.53% ( -0.05) | 51.47% ( 0.05) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.61% ( 0.05) | 46.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.97% ( 0.03) | 82.02% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.54% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 17.46% |
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