SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Flamengo | 15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 15 | -2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
52.84% ( -0.09) | 22.57% ( -0.04) | 24.59% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.4% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( 0.3) | 40.5% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( 0.31) | 62.88% ( -0.3) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( 0.08) | 15.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( 0.14) | 44.19% ( -0.14) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.27) | 29.81% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.12% ( 0.32) | 65.88% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 24.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
