MX23RW : Wednesday, August 10 17:58:54
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Jul 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Flamengo
7 - 1
Tolima
Pedro (5', 47', 67', 79'), Quinones (20' og.), Barbosa (56'), Franca (73')
Pereira (61'), Luiz (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quinones (63')
Marulanda (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tolima 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Flamengo 2-0 Deportes Tolima

When things are at their worst, Flamengo can always count on the Copa Libertadores to boost their spirits and keep them motivated. Even though they do not look like the South American force of recent years, they have more than enough quality individuals to pick up the slack and make it through this tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawDeportes Tolima
52.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 22.57% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04) 24.59% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 59.4% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5% (0.303 0.3)40.5% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (0.31 0.31)62.88% (-0.304 -0.3)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.081999999999994 0.08)15.39% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (0.14400000000001 0.14)44.19% (-0.139 -0.14)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (0.26600000000001 0.27)29.81% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (0.319 0.32)65.88% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 52.84%
    Deportes Tolima 24.59%
    Draw 22.57%
FlamengoDrawDeportes Tolima
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 24.59%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tolima 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 America Mineiro
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Flamengo
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tolima 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 2-2 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-3 Tolima
Wednesday, April 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Tolima
Thursday, April 14 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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