SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
44.74% ( -0.11) | 28.29% ( -0) | 26.97% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.56% ( 0.07) | 61.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.67% ( 0.05) | 81.32% ( -0.05) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.02) | 27.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( -0.03) | 62.89% ( 0.03) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.14) | 39.18% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( 0.13) | 75.89% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.97% |
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