SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Atletico Junior |
43.57% ( -0.11) | 28.72% ( 0.17) | 27.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.47% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.57) | 62.5% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.89% ( -0.41) | 82.11% ( 0.42) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.33) | 28.54% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( -0.42) | 64.33% ( 0.42) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.37) | 39.16% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( -0.35) | 75.87% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportes Tolima | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.49% Total : 27.7% |
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