Deportes Tolima's progress to the last-16 stage ought to be celebrated as the success it is for the Colombian outfit, but the quality of Flamengo should shine through here.
The visitors have not had it all their own way domestically in recent weeks, but momentum is on their side following a strong weekend success, and we back Junior's side to put one foot in the quarter-finals with a comfortable win.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
