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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2020 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 2
Lanus

Abila (86')
Lopez (52'), Zarate (52'), Abila (55'), Jara (70'), Capaldo (71'), Buffarini (82'), Cardona (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Orsini (28', 45')
Morales (44'), Belmonte (54')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
60.76%22.9%16.34%
Both teams to score 45.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.37%52.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72%74.28%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99%47.01%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.76%45.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.87%81.13%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 60.75%
    Lanus 16.34%
    Draw 22.9%
Boca JuniorsDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13.6%
2-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 5.67%
4-0 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.75%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 6.08%
1-2 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 16.34%


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