Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.