Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolivar in this match.