Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.