Velez Sarsfield
5 - 1
Lanus

Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Lanus
39.41%	28.24%	32.35%

Both teams to score 46.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.53%

59.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.17%

79.83%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6%

29.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61%

65.39%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07%

33.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4%

70.6%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 39.41%

Lanus 32.35%

Draw 28.23%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.41%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.35%