Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
