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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 25, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus

Lanus
2 - 0
Gimnasia

Manuel Lopez (14'), Gonzalez (36')
Belmonte (28'), Bernabei (34'), Thaller (35'), Manuel Lopez (44'), Aguirre (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Insaurralde (38')
Carbonero (28')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Lanus and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawGimnasia
46.6%26.99%26.4%
Both teams to score 47.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4%24.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91%59.09%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62%37.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83%74.16%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 46.6%
    Gimnasia 26.4%
    Draw 26.99%
LanusDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 12.89%
2-0 @ 9.04%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 26.4%

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