Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lanus in this match.